Appendix II to Part 504 - Fuel Price Computation
10:4.0.1.1.4.0.1.8.2 : Appendix II
Appendix II to Part 504 - Fuel Price Computation
(a) Introduction. This appendix provides the equations
and parameters needed to specify the price of the delivered fuels
to be used in the cost calculations associated with parts 503 and
504 of these regulations. The delivered price of the fuel to be
used to calculate delivered fuel expenses must reflect (1) the
price of each fuel at the time of the petition, and (2) the effects
of future real price increases for each fuel. The delivered price
of an alternate fuel used to calculate delivered fuel expenses must
reflect the petitioner's delivered price of the alternate fuel and
the effects of real increases in the price of that alternate fuel.
Paragraphs (b), (c) and (d) below provide the procedure to: (1)
Calculate fuel price and inflation indices; (2) account for
projected real increases in fuel prices when planning to burn one
or more than one fuel; and (3) account for projected real increases
in the price of the alternate fuel. Table II-1 of this appendix
(See paragraph (b)) contains example fuel price and inflation
indices based on the latest data appearing in the Energy
Information Administration's (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook
(AEO).
The fuel price and inflation indices will change yearly with the
publication of the AEO. Revisions shall become effective
after final publication. However, the relevant set of parameters
for a specific petition for exemption will be the set in effect at
the time the petition is submitted or the set in effect at the time
a decision is rendered, whichever is more favorable to the
petitioner.
(b) Computation of Fuel Price and Inflation Indices. (1)
the Petitioner is responsible for computing the annual fuel price
and inflation indices by using Equation II-1 and Equation II-2,
respectively. The petitioner may compute the fuel price index
specified in Equation II-1 or use his own price index. However, if
he uses his own price index, the source or the derivation of the
index must be fully documented and be contained in the evidential
summary.
EQ II-2 is:
where: PXVi = The fuel price index for each
fuel in year i. P i = Price of fuel in year i. P o = Price of fuel
in base year.
EQ II-2 is:
where: IX i = The inflation index in year i. GX
i = The NIPA GNP price deflator for year i. GX o = The NIPA GNP
price deflator for the base year.
(2) The parameters to be used in EQ II-1 are the Base Case fuel
price projections found in EIA's current AEO.
(3) When computing annual inflation indices, the petitioner is
to use the Base Case National Macroeconomic Indicators (NIPA GNP
Price Deflator) contained in EIA's current AEO. If
necessary, the petitioner must rebase the projection to the same
year used for the fuel price projections. For example, in 1989
AEO projects the price deflator in 1982 dollars; this must
be rebased to the year in which the petition is filed. The
methodology used to rebase the inflation indices must follow
standard statistical procedures and must be fully documented within
the petition. This index will remain frozen at the last year of the
AEO's projection for the remainder of the unit'(s) useful
life.
(4) Table II-1 is provided as an example of the application of
equations II-1 and II-2. This table contains annual fuel price
indices for distillate oil, residual oil, natural gas, and coal. It
also contains annual inflation indices. These values were computed
from information contained in Table A3 and Table A11 of EIA's
AEO, 1989.
Table II-1: Price and Inflation Indices for
use in the Cost Calculations
Year |
Distillate (DPX) |
Residual (RPX) |
Natural gas (GPX) |
Coal (CPX) |
Inflation (IX) |
1986 |
1.0000 |
1.0000 |
1.0000 |
1.0000 |
1.0000 |
1987 |
0.9810 |
1.2134 |
0.9508 |
0.9231 |
1.0334 |
1988 |
0.9429 |
0.9407 |
0.8934 |
0.8876 |
1.0658 |
1989 |
0.8929 |
0.9328 |
0.9057 |
0.8639 |
1.1054 |
1990 |
0.9905 |
1.0119 |
0.9221 |
0.9112 |
1.1607 |
1991 |
1.0381 |
1.0751 |
0.9344 |
0.9172 |
1.2204 |
1992 |
1.0929 |
1.1344 |
1.0205 |
0.9231 |
1.2836 |
1993 |
1.1595 |
1.2292 |
1.1148 |
0.9349 |
1.3512 |
1994 |
1.2286 |
1.3241 |
1.1844 |
0.9467 |
1.4214 |
1995 |
1.3000 |
1.4150 |
1.2705 |
0.9527 |
1.4960 |
1996 |
1.4000 |
1.5415 |
1.4016 |
0.9586 |
1.5768 |
1997 |
1.4762 |
1.6403 |
1.4918 |
0.9704 |
1.6585 |
1998 |
1.5452 |
1.7273 |
1.5615 |
0.9763 |
1.7410 |
1999 |
1.6143 |
1.7905 |
1.6475 |
0.9882 |
1.8235 |
2000 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2001 |
1.6690 |
I.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2002 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2003 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2004 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2005 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2006 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2007 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2008 |
1.6690 |
1.8430 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2009 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
2010 |
1.6690 |
1.8340 |
1.7049 |
0.9941 |
1.9025 |
(C) Fuel Price Computation. (1) The delivered price of
the proposed fuel to be burned (FPB i) must reflect the real
escalation rate of the proposed fuel, and must be computed with
Equation EQ II-3.
EQ-II-3 is: FPB i = MPB [PX i] where: FPB i = Price of the proposed
fuel (distillate oil, residual oil, or natural gas) in year i. MPB
= The current delivered market price of the proposed fuel. PX i =
The fuel price index value in year i, computed with Equation II-1.
or:
(2) When planning to use more than one fuel in the proposed
unit(s), the petitioner must use Equation II-1 and Equation II-3 to
calculate the annual fuel price of each fuel to be used. The
petitioner then must estimate the proportion of each fuel to be
burned annually over the useful life of the unit(s). With these
proportions and the respective annual fuel prices for each fuel,
the petitioner must compute an annual weighted average fuel price.
The methodology used to calculate the weighted average fuel price
must follow standard statistical procedures and be fully documented
within the petition.
(d) Fuel Price Computation - Alternate Fuel. The
delivered price of alternate fuel (PFAi) must reflect the real
escalation rate of alternate fuel and must be computed with
Equation II-4.
Equation II-4 is: PFAi = APF × apxi where: PFA = The price of the
alternate fuel in year i. APF −i = The current market price of the
alternate fuel f.o.b. the facility). APX i = The alternate fuel
price index value for year i, computed with Equation II-1.
In most cases the alternate fuel will be coal. The petitioner
must use Equation II-1 (paragraph (b)) to compute the escalation
rate (APXi). If an alternate fuel other than coal is proposed the
source or the derivation of the index must be fully documented and
be contained in the evidential summary.
[54 FR 52896, Dec. 22, 1989]